Potential Hot Spots: It Could Get Very Nasty In Syria

Potential Hot Spots: It Could Get Very Nasty In Syria

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December 5, 2011: The Assads are apparently willing to try and outwait the rebels. There are no indications the Assads are seeking sanctuary anywhere. Exile options are limited, with Iran being the most likely sanctuary. This religious dictatorship would not appeal to the secular (to Iranian eyes) Assad clan. So a fight to the death is shaping up, and it could get very nasty.

Many long-time allies are backing away from their support for the Assads. Alawite's are refusing to back the Assad's blindly, seeking to avoid a religious war with the Sunni majority. Some of the terrorist groups that have been based in Syria for decades are backing away from the Assads and looking for a new sanctuary. This is especially true of the senior Hamas leadership, who have, until now thought themselves safer in Syria than in Gaza. But ninety percent have now gone to Gaza, leaving about thirty Hanas members in Damascus to show that the terrorists still supported the Assads.

The Arab League appears determined to remove the Assad family from power in Syria. While the League appears united in opposing a NATO air campaign in Syria, there is similar determination to bring down a second Arab government. While the Kaddafi family in Libya was pushed out of power because Moamar Kaddafi was consistently hostile to fellow Arab leaders, the Assads have sinned by being an ally of Iran. One reason for that is the fact that the Assads belong to a minority Shia sect in a largely Sunni Arab Syria. Arab rulers are increasingly fearful of Iran, which is run by a coalition of Shia Moslem fanatics and is trying to develop nuclear weapons. So while the Assads are condemned publicly for killing Syrians, the real reason the Arab League wants the Assads gone is the Iranian connection.
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